Researchers at NC State University predict 12 to 15 named storms, with between 6 and 8 of those becoming hurricanes. Last year, NC State’s predictions proved to be accurate — forecasters predicted 15 to 20 named storms (18 formed), of those 10 to 12 could strengthen to hurricanes (11 did so).

The number of predicted named storms is in line with recent averages, according to Lian Xie, professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at NC State. The long-term (1951 to 2023) average of named storms is 11, and the more recent average (1994 to 2024) is 15 named storms.

Projections from NOAA’s National Weather Service are slightly higher, with 13 to 19 named storms forecast, 6 to 10 of which could reach hurricane strength. NOAA released its forecast for an above-normal hurricane season with 70% confidence.“

In my 30 years at the National Weather Service, we’ve never had more advanced models and warning systems in place to monitor the weather,” said NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham. “This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you’re ready before a storm threatens.”